Disclaimer
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a financial adviser. Please consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Five Filters for Selecting Dividend Stocks
Strong Balance Sheet: The company must have low leverage and a solid financial structure to avoid dividend cuts during financial stress, ensuring creditors are not prioritized over shareholders.
Durable and Defensive Business Model: The business should be resistant to technological disruption and economic downturns to maintain long-term stability. Avoid cyclical or eroding models like class B/C mall REITs (e.g., CBL Properties).
Adequate Earnings to Cover Dividends: Cash flow should comfortably cover dividend payouts, with a low payout ratio providing flexibility for growth or economic challenges.
Dividend Growth or High Yield: Dividends should grow at or above inflation, or the stock should offer a high yield (e.g., 10%) to allow reinvestment for inflation-adjusted returns.
Trustworthy Management and Strategy: The company needs a competent management team with a clear, believable long-term strategy and sound capital allocation policies.
Recommended Dividend Investments
The following sectors pass all five filters and are considered strong investment options:
AI-Related Infrastructure:
Why It Fits: Investment-grade companies like Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, Brookfield Renewable Partners, Reaves Utility Income Fund (UTG), and Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund (UTF) have strong balance sheets, durable business models with long-term or regulated cash flows, and exposure to the AI boom. They offer high yields (7-8%) and inflation-beating dividend growth.
Examples: Focus on power generation, data centers, or AI-adjacent infrastructure. Avoid weaker options like NextEra Energy Partners due to poor balance sheets.
Macro Tailwinds: The AI boom and the “fourth industrial revolution” drive demand, supported by strong management (e.g., Brookfield’s track record).
Midstream Energy Infrastructure:
Why It Fits: Companies like Energy Transfer, Enterprise Products Partners, MPLX, Enbridge, and funds like AMLP and MLPA have low leverage, high yields (7-10%), and conservative payout ratios (1.3-2.0x coverage). Their defensive models feature long-duration or regulated cash flows, benefiting from the U.S. energy boom and some AI exposure (e.g., natural gas).
Macro Tailwinds: Energy exports, re-industrialization, and deregulatory policies support growth.
Examples: These entities have strengthened balance sheets by reducing debt and are positioned for inflation-beating dividend growth.
Key Takeaways
Avoid companies with weak balance sheets or vulnerable business models, such as mall REITs disrupted by Amazon. AI infrastructure and midstream energy sectors are favored for their stability, high yields, and growth potential, driven by macro trends like the AI boom, energy exports, and U.S. re-industrialization.